Overview of the Fixed-Odds Betting Market in Brazil

 The Brazilian fixed-odds betting market is at a pivotal moment, driven by regulatory progress and rapid sector growth. However, this development is occurring alongside the expansion of a strong illegal market, which challenges the effectiveness of current measures.

In this exclusive article, the lawyer and Executive Director of LabSul, Letícia Ferraz examines the key challenges, risks, and pathways toward building a safer, more competitive, and sustainable environment in Brazil.

Brazil is emerging as one of the most relevant jurisdictions in the global betting landscape. It has a large-scale market, a significant user base, and a recently structured regulatory framework with appropriately stringent requirements.

However, there are serious obstacles to the consolidation of this market, as a parallel economy of illegal betting is growing rapidly, already rivaling—and in some segments surpassing—the formal sector.

Understanding this duality is essential for a realistic assessment of the Brazilian case.

From a regulatory standpoint, Brazil has made significant progress. The consolidation of fixed-odds betting, particularly since 2023, has established a model that seeks to balance market openness, tax revenue generation, and consumer protection.

Authorized operators are subject to strict requirements, including identity verification, restrictions on minors, responsible gambling mechanisms, monitoring of risky behavior, and specific advertising rules.

The economic results are already tangible. In 2025, the sector generated approximately R$ 9.9 billion in tax revenue, allocated to strategic areas such as healthcare, public security, and sports.

This is the picture of the visible market: regulated, supervised, and institutionally integrated.

At the same time, however, an illegal market of equally significant proportions operates in parallel. Estimates indicate that around 51% of betting activity in Brazil takes place outside the regulated environment, generating between R$ 26 billion and R$ 40 billion annually.

Meanwhile, approximately 70% of users are unable to distinguish between legal and illegal operators, highlighting not only enforcement failures but also a structural deficit in information and transparency.

This is not a residual phenomenon, but a consolidated parallel economy.

The illegal market benefits from structural asymmetries.

By operating outside regulation, it avoids licensing costs, does not implement consumer protection mechanisms, and exploits weaknesses in financial supervision systems. In practice, a robust parallel infrastructure is formed, often connected to illicit activities, particularly money laundering.

The impacts are systemic and span multiple dimensions. For consumers, risks of fraud, financial loss, and misuse of personal data increase.

For public health, the absence of control tools exacerbates risky behaviors and intensifies problem gambling. For the State, the loss of tax revenue is significant, estimated between R$ 7 billion and R$ 10 billion annually, undermining the funding of essential public policies.

In terms of public security, there is a strengthening of criminal structures that increasingly operate in the digital environment, shifting from territorial control to technological infrastructures.

The data presented highlights the need for broad discussion and for enforcement actions and regulatory improvements, without substantially altering the structures already in place.

Proposals that seek to excessively restrict the regulated market or disproportionately increase the tax burden tend to produce adverse effects.

By reducing the competitiveness of licensed operators, such measures encourage consumers to migrate to the illegal environment, where risks are higher and consequences potentially more harmful.

Thus, the regulatory challenge lies not only in establishing rules, but in ensuring that regulation is economically viable, technically feasible, and institutionally effective.

Addressing the illegal market requires a coordinated and multisectoral approach.

This involves strengthening oversight of financial flows, integrated action between regulatory and law enforcement bodies, and expanding regulatory reach across the entire value chain, including intermediaries and service providers that, even indirectly, enable illegal operations.

In addition, there is a central component of education and transparency.

In a digital environment where interfaces and brands can easily simulate legitimacy, it is essential to develop clear mechanisms for identifying the regulated market, combined with consistent consumer awareness policies.

The country has made progress in structuring its regulatory framework. The next challenge, more complex and decisive,  is to ensure that this model can compete with the illegal economy and progressively reduce, and ideally eliminate, its space.

I conclude by arguing that the consolidation of a safe and sustainable betting market in Brazil depends on coordinated action among legislators, regulators, private companies, and consumers themselves.

The continuous improvement of market practices, combined with balanced and effective regulation, requires ongoing dialogue and shared responsibility among all stakeholders.

Only through this joint effort will it be possible to strengthen the regulated environment, curb the advance of illegality, and generate concrete benefits for the State, bettors, and society as a whole.

Letícia Ferraz
Executive Director of LabSul and lawyer.